The following is an excerpt from the book "Foolish Design," available here...
Into the Void: Our Foolish Place in the Cosmos
“Space, the final frontier…” – Patrick Stewart, as Captain Jean-Luc Picard[1]
An indicator of a Foolish Watchmaker, one that appeals to the inner astronomer rather than the biologist, is Earth’s very location. Earth is located in a special place in our solar system, and this place is known as the habitable zone. The habitable zone is a tiny fraction of the Solar System that is estimated to occupy the space from 0.725 to 3 astronomical units (AU) away from the Sun, where an AU equals Earth’s distance from the Sun.[2] The solar system is variously estimated as being anywhere from 49 AU (the farthest radius of Pluto from the sun) to 100 AU in radius (the closest radius of a border of the Solar System known as the heliopause).[3]
While the Solar System isn’t a sphere, for simplicity’s sake we’ll assume it to be so, allowing for a back-of-the-envelope calculation. It goes like this:
What fraction of the Solar System’s volume is in fact habitable?
Let’s assume that the habitable zone is a roughly spherical shell.[4] To get the volume of this shell, we have to take the volume of the largest sphere defined by the habitable zone, and then subtract away the volume of the smallest sphere defined by the habitable zone. This will give us the volume of the “shell” that is the habitable zone of the Solar System.
Given that the formula for a sphere is…
(4) 4/3 * pi * (Radius)3
The habitable zone is approximately…
(4/3 * pi * (3)3) - (4/3 * pi * (0.75)3) AU,
or about 111.5 Cubic AU.
Let’s also assume that the solar system is roughly spherical.[5] The volume of the solar system, using the smaller Pluto estimate, is
(4/3 * pi * (49)3), or 492,807 Cubic AU.
To find the fraction of the solar system that is occupied by the habitable zone, we merely have to divide the volume of the habitable zone by the total volume of the solar system.
(111.5) divided by (492,807) yields the number 0.000226, or 0.0226 percent of the total solar system.
The habitable zone of the solar system is an incomprehensibly small fraction of the solar system itself. Much less than one tenth of a percent. Any closer and the Earth’s oceans would never have condensed. Any further away and the Earth would be a massive glacier. Earth is on the razor’s edge of being viable for life.
Other considerations make for even more interesting happenstance. For example, if Earth were too far from galactic core, it would be hard to find enough gas to even condense into a star system, and no life would have formed. Conversely, if the solar system were too close to galactic core, the intense radiation would eliminate any chance of life as we know it developing.
Advocates of Intelligent Design suggest that this remarkable happenstance proves the hand of a gentle, caring God, who created humanity in the most perfect, gentle cradle possible.
However, there is a far more fitting analogy, one that could be called the “rabbits on the highway” analogy. If a man chose to raise a group of rabbits on the median of a highway, there would be no question that the rabbits had a plethora of fine resources to help them thrive. Fertile soils would allow for plenty of delicious grass to be grown. No predators would exist in this gentle environment, and the soil would be soft enough for the rabbits to build large, comfortable warrens.
There’s only one tiny problem: this little Eden of the rabbit kingdom would be a mere screeching tire away from complete and total obliteration. Few would say that a man who raised rabbits in such fashion showed compassion by selecting the median of the highway instead of the highway itself. It is true that the median of a busy road is less dangerous than the road itself, but this begs the question: why not raise your rabbits somewhere that isn’t near the highway at all?[6] Somewhere away from the extreme danger that the highway represents?
The denizens of Earth are the ultimate rabbits on the highway. Earth is routinely struck by asteroids and comets.[7] It is subject to cosmic events including the eventual fiery death of our sun, and it experiences countless natural disasters (volcanoes, floods, earthquakes, tornadoes) that make life on the median of a highway seem like a cakewalk in comparison.
At this point, you may be asking yourself “Well, what’s the humor in all of this? Earth’s location sounds miserable. I don’t understand why a Foolish Creator would put me in a place like this!” If you find yourself saying this, you’ll be happy to know you’re in good company. Countless generations of philosophers have wrestled with these same thoughts. Of course, this may also mean that you don’t get the joke.
It is oft writ that none can understand the mind of God, so any guess at this point will be pure conjecture, but here’s one take on the issue: people are at their happiest when they feel lucky. Few could deny that Earth’s location, hidden in the tiny fraction of the solar system that is the habitable zone, is dramatically lucky. There is nowhere else known to man that life can survive at all, let alone thrive. In this regard, we can feel happy to gloat over those poor sods Venus and Mars. One wreathed in poisonous atmosphere, the other a barren, cold rock.
Earth is like the successful sister that monopolized on all the brains, good looks, and charms that bucktoothed Mars lacked. As the other planets burned and froze across the landscape of eternity, Earth began to liberate its elements into living, dancing, breathing and beautiful green life. Living on Earth, we’re given the unique chance to laugh at the expense of the other planets that just couldn’t get it together. Even the poor rabbits that live on the median of a highway get to laugh at the rabbits scrambling across the highway itself.
On Earth, we’re lucky rabbits in more than just one way. Earth’s magnetosphere routinely deflects the solar radiation of the sun, and even volcanoes and floods play a role in rejuvenating the soils of the planet.
While the Earth is far from perfect, it’s a damn sight better than any other alternatives we can see in the future. Nobody’s planning on moving to the moon, because let’s face it, the moon sucks. You can’t even take a walk without putting on a space suit, and even then you’ll be bombarded with the Sun’s radiation. Want to take Sparky out for a little game of fetch? Good luck. The moon’s low gravity will decay his bones until even a Frisbee looks like a deadly weapon. The Earth itself is somewhat similar to capitalism: it’s a system that’s rotten, but it’s better than anything else we’ve got.
[1] See, e.g., any Start Trek: The Next Generation Episode ever made
[2] See the Wikipedia entry on “Habitable Zone,” at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Habitable_zone
[4] Physicists assume everything in the universe is spherical, including cubes.
[5] This is, of course, not true.
[6] A mere hare’s breadth from death.
[7] This is a common occurrence. More common than we like to think. In 1908, a meteor impacted Tunguska Russia, resulting in massive and widespread devastation of the forests in the region. As recently as October 8, 2009, a meteor more than thirty feet across was estimated to have exploded over Indonesia, with the force of “about 50 kilotons of TNT.” See Discover Magazine’s Blog, at http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/badastronomy/2009/10/27/asteroid-exploded-over-indonesia-weeks-ago/
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